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Estimates of the natural interest rate are often useful in the analysis of monetary and other macroeconomic policies. The topic gathered much attention following the great financial crisis and the Euro Area debt crisis due to the uncertainty regarding the timing of monetary policy normalization...
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monetary policy news shock based on a VAR model. A monetary news shock is equivalent to new information about the Fed's future … monetary policy becoming available today. One example of a monetary news shock is a Forward Guidance announcement, where the … shocks. We estimate the response of the euro area to an expected future policy tightening of the Fed. The U.S. news shock …
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Very low policy rates as well as the substantial redesign of rules and supervisory institutions have changed background conditions for the Euro Area's financial intermediary sector substantially. Both policy initiatives have been targeted at improving societal welfare. And their potential side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456949
sovereigns manifested in a liquidity shock to their international funding through two channels: (i) a contraction in cross … households, is documented for euro area banks affected by the international liquidity shock and that drew on ECB liquidity under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374059
We study determinants of sovereign portfolios of Spanish banks over a long time-span, starting in 2008. Our findings challenge the view that banks engaged in moral hazard strategies to exploit the regulatory treatment of sovereign exposures. In particular, we show that being a weakly capitalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978836
We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
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