explain why racial identification became politically salient in the 2016 Presidential Election. We find that the oft …-observed positive relationship between racial animus and Trump's vote share is eliminated by introducing an interaction between racial … significant positive association with Trump's vote share, but this is offset by high levels of relatedness. Together, these two …

year of a gubernatorial election, the elasticity of investment to the eventual margin of victory is 0.027. Both the …

and the subsequent pursuit of a Congressional career. The empirical approach uses a sample of mixed-gender elections to … election relative to an analogous impact for men who closely win or lose a state legislature election. We find that the effect …

, particularly among those who had expressed an intention to vote for Donald Trump. We also find that micro-targeted ads reduced … turnout among targeted liberals, whereas they increased turnout and support for Trump among targeted moderates. …

states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … estimate the effect of COVID- 19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020 …