This paper investigates whether short-term momentum and long-term reversal may emerge from the wealth reallocation process taking place in speculative markets. We assume that there are two classes of investors who trade long-lived assets by holding constantly rebalanced portfolios based on their...

An investment that is characterized by exit flexibility requires both decisions on investment and holding period. As selling an investment often leads to tax-liable capital gains and capital gains crucially depend on the duration of an investment we investigate the impact of capital gains...

An investment that is characterized by exit flexibility requires both decisions on investment and holding period. As selling an investment often leads to tax-liable capital gains and capital gains crucially depend on the duration of an investment we investigate the impact of capital gains...

In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases the equity risk premium, and reduces welfare. Regulatory measures, such as...

We present a simple model that quantitatively replicates the behavior of stock prices and business cycles in the United States. The business cycle model is standard, except that it features extrapolative belief formation in the stock market, in line with the available survey evidence....