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frictions render labor-market risk countercyclical and endogenous to monetary policy. Our main result is that a majority of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563007
This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses …. We then estimate how income risk, measured by the variance and the skewness of the probability distribution of shocks to … the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996331
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higherorder risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … show that in a standard incomplete-markets life-cycle model, first, higher-order risk has sizable welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182809
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … show that in a standard incomplete-markets life-cycle model, first, higher-order risk has sizable welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
transitory income (e.g., from a stimulus check) is higher under non-Gaussian earnings risk. … idiosyncratic risk implied by the benchmark process is between two-to-four times higher than the canonical Gaussian one. Third, the … standard method in the literature for measuring the pass-through of income shocks to consumption—can significantly overstate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543845
This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … households in the bottom 60% of the income distribution. Standard representative-agent New Keynesian models have difficulty to … behaviors, triggering a fall in aggregate demand and supply. These precautionary behaviors increase the unemployment risk of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
the zero-borrowing constraint is a lot weaker. More surprisingly, when I introduce idiosyncratic labor income risk in an …This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in … idiosyncratic risk increases the equity premium by 70 percent, which means that the mechanism described in Constantinides, Donaldson …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900994
endogenous firing as well as a short-time work decision. In recessions, short-time work reduces the unemployment risk of workers …, which mitigates their precautionary savings motive and aggregate demand falls by less. Using a quantitative model analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517675
risk of workers, which mitigates their precautionary savings motive. Using a quantitative model analysis, we show that this … recessions. First, we show that the consumption risk of short-time work is considerably smaller compared to unemployment using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332143
Households face earnings risk which is non-normal and varies by age and over the income distribution. We show that … assets. Because households are subject to more background risk than previously considered, the estimated model implies a … substantially lower coefficient of risk aversion. We also find renewed support for rule-of-thumb investment strategies under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278693