This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … uncertainty as well as disagreement among CPI inflation forecasters to account for different dimensions of uncertainty. Based on a … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …

uncertainty, as reflected by greater timeliness with no loss in forecast accuracy. In contrast, analysts have greater difficulty … dealing with heightened market uncertainty, as both timeliness and forecast accuracy decline … — change when investor demand for information is likely to be especially high, i.e., during periods of high uncertainty …

uncertainty of a combined forecast should be interpreted as that of a typical forecaster randomly drawn from the pool. With a … some previously used measures significantly underestimate the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty. … standard factor decomposition of a panel of forecasts, we show that the uncertainty of a typical forecaster can be expressed as …

explore the relationship between uncertainty and disagreement, as well as their roles in respondents' forecast performance and … forecast revisions. We observe substantial heterogeneity in respondents' uncertainty and disagreement. In addition, there is … little co-movement between uncertainty and disagreement, and forecast performance shows a more robust inverse relationship …

uncertainty? This paper focuses on the role played by imaginaries, narratives, and calculative technologies, and argues that the … best practice in conditions of uncertainty, and considers the link between uncertainty and some aspects of populism. …

. The core contention is that economic uncertainty improves both forecast accuracy as well as direction-of-change forecasts …This paper evaluates the predictive out-of-sample forecasting properties of six different economic uncertainty … with two different indicator selection procedures. Forecast accuracy is evaluated by RMSE and the Diebold-Mariano test …