Meyer, Brent H.; Prescott, Brian C.; Sheng, Xuguang - 2023
firms' marginal cost expectations and risk during the COVID-19 pandemic. First, in the early months of the pandemic, firms …, on net, saw COVID-19 largely as a demand shock and lowered their one-year-ahead expectations. However, as the pandemic … capacity disruptions. Second, the balance of unit cost risks shifted sharply over the course of the pandemic, and by the end of …