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Several lessons learned from a Bayesian analysis of basic economic time series models by means of the Gibbs sampling algorithm are presented. Models include the Cochrane-Orcutt model for serial correlation, the Koyck distributed lag model, the Unit Root model, the Instrumental Variables model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349180
Time series models are often fitted to the data without preliminary checks for stability of the mean and variance, conditions that may not hold in much economic and financial data, particularly over long periods. Ignoring such shifts may result in fitting models with spurious dynamics that lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405222
We introduce a new approach for the estimation of high-dimensional factor models with regime-switching factor loadings by extending the linear three-pass regression filter to settings where parameters can vary according to Markov processes. The new method, denoted as Markov-switching three-pass...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637435
The present paper studies the panel data auto regressive (PAR) time series model for testing the unit root hypothesis. The posterior odds ratio (POR) is derived under appropriate prior assumptions and then empirical analysis is carried out for testing the unit root hypothesis of Net Asset Value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784564
The paper compares two approaches to the estimation of panel probit models: the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and the Simulated Maximum Likelihood (SML) technique. Both have in common that they circumvent multiple integrations of joint density functions without the need to impose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009675757
The properties of classical panel data estimators including fixed effect, first-differences, random effects, and generalized method of moments-instrumental variables estimators in both static as well as dynamic panel data models are investigated under sample selection. The correlation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428011
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One of the perceived advantages of difference-in-differences (DiD) methods is that they do not explicitly restrict how units select into treatment. However, when justifying DiD, researchers often argue that the treatment is "quasi-randomly" assigned. We investigate what selection mechanisms are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362377