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startup characteristics to forecast the performance of newly started enterprises over a five years' time horizon. The … performance outcomes we consider are involuntary exit, above-average employment growth, a return on assets of above 20 percent … predict startup performance with either high or very high accuracy with the exception of high returns on assets where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180542
startup characteristics to forecast the performance of newly started enterprises over a five years' time horizon. The … performance outcomes we consider are involuntary exit, above{average employment growth, a return on assets of above 20 percent … predict startup performance with either high or very high accuracy with the exception of high returns on assets where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195608
entry, performance, and survival. Using propensity score matching, we compare three Swedish cohorts from Junior Achievement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914723
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009546287
This paper examines the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of tests of equal forecast accuracy when the models being compared are overlapping in the sense of Vuong (1989). Two models are overlapping when the true model con- tains just a subset of variables common to the larger sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009310965
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide a formal analysis of this question with special attention to the possible role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421672
Standard economics omits the role of narratives (the stories that people tell themselves and others) when they make all kinds of decisions. Narratives play a role in understanding the environment; focusing attention; predicting events; motivating action; assigning social roles and identities;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422534
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312325
of prediction using "big data". In this paper, our over-arching question is whether such "big data" are useful for … approaches, and benchmark econometric models; and all used in the prediction of 11 key macroeconomic variables relevant for … forms of shrinkage. For example, SPCA yields MSFE-best prediction models in many cases, particularly when coupled with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766687