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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695915
This contribution analyzes bull and bear markets from 1954:1-2011:2 in the US-stock index S&P 500. Thereby, a 2-State-Markov-Switching model is applied to figure out bull and bear market regimes within the latter period, whereby the estimated state probabilities are used to estimate a dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286823
In this paper we examine the issue of asymmetry in the return and volatility spillover effects from the US equity market into the Canadian and Mexican equity markets. We model the conditional volatility of the returns in each of the three markets using the asymmetric power model of Ding, Granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295295
Nach dem Ende des Börsenbooms macht sich auf dem Aktienmarkt eine große Unsicherheit breit. Von welchen Determinanten … hängt die langfristige Entwicklung der Aktienkurse ab? Mit welchen Renditen ist zukünftig am Aktienmarkt zu rechnen? …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302843
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011404780
Der Einführungszeitpunkt der Abgeltungsteuer zum 1.1.2009 war schon lange in der Öffentlichkeit bekannt. Der Kapitalmarkttheorie folgend wäre bei vollständiger Verarbeitung der bekannten Informationen zu erwarten gewesen, dass die Marktteilnehmer die mit der Abgeltungsteuer verbundene...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818688
This study analyzes the accuracy of forecasted target prices within analysts' reports. We compute a measure for target price forecast accuracy that evaluates the ability of analysts to exactly forecast the ex-ante (unknown) 12-month stock price. Furthermore, we determine factors that explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421358
This study evaluated the relationship between inflation and infrastructure sector stock returns in emerging markets in the long and short run. It employed a panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) model applying the mean group (MG), pooled mean group (PMG) and dynamic fixed effects (DFE)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657574
State and Municipal governments on bond returns in Mexico. By employing a Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) structure for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332965
the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Enhanced accuracy of expected asset-return, in turn, may lead to more accurate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559212