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In this paper, we investigate the impact of the adjustment for seasonal effects with different seasonal adjustment … methods, the possible pre-treatment for calendar effects and the different order of aggregation and adjustment for the … seasonal adjustment and aggregation has only minor effects on the determined turning points of the European business cycle. 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377544
of seasonal adjustment will persist when extracting the business cycle. Moreover, since raw figures imply problems in … consequence, the problem of choosing between direct and indirect both in seasonal adjustment and in business cycle extraction … coming from both direct and indirect seasonally adjustment approach and then compared the relative results. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377546
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545974
Putting the high public debt ratios on a downward path after the surge during the pandemic and allocating sufficient resources to deliver on the green and digital transition will be among the priorities confronting the EU institutions emerging from the June 2024 European elections. After a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014546008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014546034
China's merchandise trade surplus has reached an all-time high and is likely to rise further. A key driver appears to be a policy push to further bolster Chinese domestic manufacturing production, implying the danger of significant overcapacities. China's imbalance between domestic production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014546051
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334678
EU fiscal rules are meant to keep public finances on a sustainable path. This paper presents a new database that tracks numerical compliance with the four main rules of the Stability and Growth Pact starting in 1998. Our assessment of numerical compliance abstracts from the many exceptions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334679
Using new and unique survey evidence on digitalisation activities and investment in climate change of non-financial firms in the EU and the US, this article documents the trend towards twin digital and green investment in the corporate landscape after the COVID-19 pandemic. We use information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334681
This paper investigates determinants of convergence in GDP per capita in the euro area and the EU between 1995 and 2021. It finds that the COVID-19 crisis temporarily slowed convergence but the estimated negative impact is significantly smaller than during the global financial crisis. Diverging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334683