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This contribution analyzes bull and bear markets from 1954:1-2011:2 in the US-stock index S&P 500. Thereby, a 2-State-Markov-Switching model is applied to figure out bull and bear market regimes within the latter period, whereby the estimated state probabilities are used to estimate a dummy...
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In this paper we examine the issue of asymmetry in the return and volatility spillover effects from the US equity … market into the Canadian and Mexican equity markets. We model the conditional volatility of the returns in each of the three … considerably from those for Mexico. In particular, the empirical results indicate that volatility spillover effects, but not return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295295
volatility reaction to market shocks and volatility persistence alongside the asymmetric properties. The results reveal that … volatility of Nigeria and Kenya stock returns react to market shock faster than as other countries do. The results also suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482621
This article provides results on the volatility spread for stock markets in emerging economies. Empirical studies on … determining or predicting volatility in national and international financial markets provide information for investors. The aim of … this study is also to analyze volatility spreads from the United States of America, France, Germany, Japan Turkey, China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012873462
studyanalyzes the stock market volatility in three distinct regimes (accumulation or distri-bution - regime 1; big-move - regime 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604575
Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency … research is to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on the return and volatility of the stock market indices of the top 10 … volatility remains higher than in normal periods, signaling a bearish tendency in the market. The COVID variable, as an exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611427
The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551997
observed that the volatility shocks are quite persistent and take a long time to die out. September 11, 2001incident and … thereafter war on terror has increased the conditional volatility of foreign direct investment and has statistically significant … volatility. One interesting finding of this study is that the impact of Non-Democratic regime before September, 11 scenario is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938300