This paper presents projections of the medium- and long-term labor force trends in Germany. Since such projections depend highly on future political decisions and corresponding behavioral changes, we apply a scenario-based approach. Our main findings are that the future size of the labor force...

Disability insurance - the insurance against the loss of the ability to work - is a substantial part of social security expenditures in many countries. The benefit recipiency rates in disability insurance vary strikingly across European countries and the US. This paper investigates the extent...

Thanks to the reform process between 1992 and 2007, Germany was in a very good position to master demographic change. These reforms were farsighted, they stabilised the public pension system and they significantly increased employment, the foundation of every old age provision. The 'Pension...

Welfare state interventions shape our life courses in almost all of their multiply linked domains. In this introduction, we sketch how cross-nationally comparative retrospective data can be fruitfully employed to better understand these links and the long-run effects of the welfare state at the...

Nach Meinung von Hans Fehr, Lehrstuhl für Finanzwissenschaft, Universität Würzburg, belastet der aktuelle Gesetzentwurf zur Reform der Rentenversicherung pauschal die Beitragszahler, konterkariert die eingeleitete Anhebung des Rentenzugangsalters und hilft nur wenig gegen die künftig...

Axel Börsch-Supan, Tabea Bucher-Koenen und Johannes Rausch, MEA – Munich Center for the Economics of Aging am Max-Planck-Institut für Sozialrecht und Sozialpolitik, München, zeigen, dass die Lage der GRV bis 2030, dem Zeithorizont des aktuellen Rentenversicherungsberichts, stabil im Sinne...

Die Grundrente, die zum 1. Januar 2021 in Kraft getreten ist, wurde mit dem Anspruch beworben, Altersarmut zu vermeiden und durch ihr kompliziertes Design besonders zielgenau zu sein. Axel Börsch-Supan und Nicolas Goll untersuchen, ob die Grundrente diesen Anspruch auch tatsächlich erfüllt....

German pension policy faces a dilemma. If it is too generous, it harms contributors, disincentivises labour supply, and crowds out education and infrastructure investment needed to pay for social protection. If it is too frugal, it harms those with social and health issues. Thus, smart...