This paper builds a short-term inflation projections (STIP) model for Latvia. The model is designed to forecast highly disaggregated consumer prices using cointegrated ARDL approach of [Pesaran, M., & Shin, Y. (1998). An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration...

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the most important indicators that reflects the evolution and resilience of national economies. The importance of this macroeconomic indicator is growing in the current economic context, context in which international studies start to emphasize the...

Electricity price forecasting has become an area of increasing relevance in recent years. Despite the growing interest in predictive algorithms, the challenges are difficult to overcome given the restricted access to relevant data series and the lack of accurate metrics. Multiple models have...

The boost of the accommodation type called vacation rentals (tourist apartments and dwellings) experienced worldwide in recent years thanks to the rise of the Internet and P2P networks arouses interest in the analysis of these new stay formulas. The aim of this research is the elaboration of an...

The sustained current account deficit in any country has an important implication for policy. If it continues, then it suggests that the regime ought to have no motivation to avoid or to diminish its international debt. In this paper, we test empirically the relationship among current account...

This paper describes a moments estimator for a standard state-space model with coefficients generated by a random walk. The method calculates the conditional expectations of the coefficients, given the observations. A penalized least squares estimation is linked to the GLS (Aitken) estimates of...

We propose our quarterly earnings prediction (QEPSVR) model, which is based on epsilon support vector regression (ε-SVR), as a new univariate model for quarterly earnings forecasting. This follows the recommendations of Lorek (Adv Account 30:315–321, 2014....

This paper examines the lead/lag relations between size-sorted portfolio returns through the lens of financial cycles governing these returns using a novel econometric methodology. Specifically, we develop a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model that allows for imperfect synchronization...

The subject of research in this paper is the profitability of the biggest banks in the European financial market, some of which operate in Montenegro. The profitability of banks is influenced by a large number of factors, including internal banking and external macroeconomic factors. The aim of...