This paper asks why modern finance theory and the efficient market hypothesis have failed to explain long-term carry trades; persistent asset bubbles or zero lower bounds; and financial crises. It extends Godley and Lavoie (Monetary Economics: An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income,...

The paper aims at showing that one of the main channels by which the US 2007 financial crisis became a real and global economic crisis is the 'confidence channel', i.e. that the financial crisis affected firms, banks and households' expectations and confidence, thus leading to what they were...

This study introduces a monthly coincident indicator for consumption in Germany based on Google Trends data on web search activity. In real-time nowcasting experiments the indicator outperforms common survey-based indicators in predicting consumption. Unlike those indicators, it provides...

There has been a long-standing debate over the development of savings rates in developed economies, and an emphasis has been placed on aging societies and a global savings glut. Meanwhile, with rising global temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events becoming an increasingly visible...

Finanzkrisen der jüngsten Zeit zeichnen sich durch einen starken Gleichlauf der Entwicklung der Kreditvergabe am privaten Immobilienmarkt mit der Entwicklung der Immobilienpreise aus. Der Aufsatz untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen Immobilienpreisen, Verschuldung, Finanzkrisen und den...

Using several different datasets obtained from the German Central Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank) and the German Federal Statistical Office, we provide empirical evidence that savings and loan contracts (SLCs) are a macrosocial phenomenon that smooths housing demand by setting countercyclical...

Der seit vielen Jahren zu beobachtende Trend abnehmender nominaler und realer Zinssätze in den wichtigsten Industrieländern ist im Euroraum und in Deutschland zuletzt in ein historisch beispielloses Umfeld niedrigster und negativer Zinsen gemündet. Eher als auf eine vermeintliche...

Das Umfeld niedriger Zinsen ist weniger auf die Geldpolitik, sondern mehr auf globale Trends in der Investitionsnachfrage und in der Sparneigung sowie einen krisenbedingten Rückgang der Investitionen zurückzuführen. Mittelfristig kann die Überwindung der Bilanzrezession zu höheren...

Background: Saving and investment are two of the most important tools for economic growth. The interest rate has always been considered an important determinant of saving and investment. However, according to Islamic teachings, riba or earning interest on saving or investment is forbidden, and...