We uncover a nexus between actual inflation, inflation perceptions and expectations in Korea through analyzing micro as well as aggregate data from the Consumer Survey. We document two novel findings. First, households' subjective perceptions of inflation exert more impact on expectation...

Expectations affect economic decisions, and inaccurate expectations are costly. Expectations can be wrong due to either bias (systematic mistakes) or noise (unsystematic mistakes). We develop a framework for quantifying the level of noise in survey expectations. The method is based on the...

The great recession (2008) triggered an apparent discrepancy between empirical findings and macroeconomic models based on rational expectations alone. This gap led to a series of recent developments of a behavioral microfoundation of macroeconomics combined with the underlying experimental and...

This report compares employment expectations among refugees in Germany in 2016 with their actual employment situation in 2018, using the IAB-BAMF-SOEP Survey of Refugees in Germany. In 2016, the majority of refugees reported that the probability they would find employment within two years was...

Auf Grundlage der IAB-BAMF-SOEP-Befragung Geflüchteter in Deutschland vergleicht dieser Bericht die im Jahr 2016 geäußerten Erwartungen zu einer Erwerbstätigkeit in Deutschland mit der realisierten Beschäftigung im Jahr 2018. Die überwiegende Mehrheit der Geflüchteten hat im Jahr 2016...

Using the exact wording of the European Central Bank's definition of price stability, we started a representative online survey of German citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long‐term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that...

This study attempts to investigate the determinants of industrial output in Syria over the period 1980 - 2010. The ADF unit root test, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response functions, variance decomposition analysis, and stability tests are used in this study. The...

This study empirically examines the independent effects of stock market and banking sector development on economic growth in Nigeria over the period 1981-2014 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration analysis. Controlling for the possible effects of crude oil...

This study examines the relationship between crude oil price and financial sector intermediary development in Nigeria over the period 1975-2011, using the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration analysis. Four measures of financial intermediary development are used including an...

Eine wichtige Ursache für den Anstieg des Ölpreises seit Mitte der 90er Jahre ist die stetig steigende Ölnachfrage. Dazu hat in letzter Zeit das starke Wirtschaftswachstum in den Schwellenländern wesentlich beigetragen. Aktuell dürften die Unruhen in Nordafrika den Ölpreis weiter nach oben...