Showing 1 - 10 of 100
The purpose of the present paper is to examine theoretically and empirically how the maturity structure of government debt is affected by changes in its main macroeconomic determining factors. We organize our investigation around a maturity-structure model for Greece in which the optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011725339
The indicator that is commonly used to assess the long-term fiscal sustainability of public finances in EU member states ("S2") is also defined if government borrowing rates are assumed to be permanently lower than the growth rate of GDP. Under these circumstances, however, it no longer provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501773
The aim of this paper is to investigate the vulnerability of fiscal policy in the case of 10 Central and Eastern European countries. We use a newly introduce indicator named Cumulative Excess of the Primary Balance (CEPB) which shows the deviations of current fiscal policy from a fiscal rule...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491479
The financial crisis placed budget and fiscal policy sustainability on the centre stage of researches. Recently, a number of studies have suggested that the researcher should take use of the simplest models, because they provide accurate forecasting results. This present study falls in line with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937461
In this work, a Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) with time-varying betas is considered. These betas evolve over time, conditional on financial and non-financial variables. Indeed, the model proposed by Adrian and Franzoni (2009) is adapted to assess the behavior of some selected Brazilian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996066
The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is one of the most important economic and financial hypotheses that have been tested over the past century. Due to many abnormal phenomena and conflicting evidence, otherwise known as anomalies against EMH, some academics have questioned whether EMH is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199649
Two model averaging approaches are used and compared in estimating and forecasting dynamic factor models, the well-known Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and the recently developed weighted average least squares (WALS). Both methods propose to combine frequentist estimators using Bayesian weights....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610941
This paper compares two approaches to analyzing longitudinal discrete-time binary outcomes. Dynamic binary response models focus on state occupancy and typically specify low-order Markovian state dependence. Multi-spell duration models focus on transitions between states and typically allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696217
This paper considers the estimation of dynamic threshold regression models with fixed effects using short panel data. We examine a two-step method, where the threshold parameter is estimated nonparametrically at the N-rate and the remaining parameters are estimated by GMM at the ÍN-rate. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696238
This article examines the non-linear relationship between financial leverage and cash holdings in the emerging market context-Vietnam. We use the dynamic model with the system generalized method of moments (SGMM) estimator and the comprehensive data set of stocks listed on the Vietnamese stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505750