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A note on the empirical relation between oil prices and the value of the dollar

Marquez, Jaime R.; Merler, Silvia - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 13 (2020) 8, pp. 1-16

This paper offers an empirical characterization of the relation between the international price of oil and exchange rates that is both useful and reliable. Our characterization is useful because it rests on information of asset prices that are determined in functioning asset markets. Our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611408

The Evaluation of Quarterly Forecast Intervals for Inflation Rate in Romania

Simionescu, Mihaela; Dragan, Irina - In: Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business 14 (2016) 1, pp. 80-89

bootstrap simulations were used for assessing the uncertainty in inflation rate forecasts in Romania. …The forecast uncertainty was one of the causes of the recent economic crisis and its evaluation became more necessary …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011985113

Professional forecasters' expectations, consistency, and international spillovers

Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert L. - In: Journal of Forecasting 39 (2020) 7, pp. 1001-1024

countries. We examine the interrelation between macroeconomic forecasts and also the impact of uncertainty on forecasts by … forecasts regarding gross domestic product growth, consumer price index inflation and 3-month interest rates for a broad set of … allowing for cross-country interdependencies and time variation in the coefficients. We find that professional forecasts are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428838

Analysing EU Countries Digital Progress Towards Sustainable Development Goals

Ciucu (Durnoi), Alexandra-Nicoleta; Teodorescu, Cosmin … - In: Amfiteatru Economic 25 (2023) Special Issue No. 17, pp. 987-1002

The article analyses the level of digitalization in the European Union (EU) and correlates the results with the Sustainable Development Goals formulated by the United Nations. The paper provides figures on the number of enterprises receiving orders online, the share of enterprises' turnover on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014463457

Empleando modelos jerárquicos para encontrar el mejor modelo para pronosticar los galones de gasolina corriente demandados en Bogotá (Colombia)

Alonso, Julio; Díaz, Javier Gustavo; Estrada Nates, Daniela - In: Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y … 28 (2019), pp. 113-123

The objective of this analysis is to find the best hierarchical model to forecast the total demand for regular gasoline in Bogotá, Colombia and, therefore, the collection of gasoline surcharges, which is an important tax used to finance road networks and massive transportation systems. We used...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494404

Global cargo gravitation model: airports matter for forecasts

Baier, Fabian; Berster, Peter; Gelhausen, Marc - In: International Economics and Economic Policy 19 (2021) 1, pp. 219-238

air cargo forecasts utilizing global airport-dyadic ICAO CASS data in general linearized airport fixed effects gravity …: extrapolating general economic forecast data provided by IHS Markit yield similar results to Boeing cargo forecasts (2020), with a … airport fixed effects, which makes the model on the other hand suitable for country- and airport level forecasts as well. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501444

Digitization of the budgeting process: determinants of the use of business analytics and its effect on satisfaction with the budgeting process

Bergmann, Mareike; Brück, Christian; Knauer, Thorsten; … - In: Journal of Management Control 31 (2020) 1-2, pp. 25-54

Since the use of business analytics promises automation of business processes and time savings, the budgeting process seems predestined for the integration of analytical methods. Therefore, this study examines the determinants of the use of business analytics in the budgeting process and its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503552

Deutsche Industrie: Durchwachsene Lage, positive Aussichten

Lucke, Dorothea - In: DIW Wochenbericht 80 (2013) 47, pp. 16-25

Die deutsche Industrie hat den Produktionsrückgang vom Jahresende 2012 in den ersten neun Monaten des laufenden Jahres fast wieder wettgemacht. Das Vorjahresniveau wird sie im Gesamtjahr 2013 dennoch knapp verfehlen, um voraussichtlich rund 0,5 Prozent. Sollte der Aufschwung im Euroraum im...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327371

House price forecasts, forecaster herding, and the recent crisis

Pierdzioch, Christian; Rülke, Jan Christoph; … - In: International Journal of Financial Studies 1 (2013) 1, pp. 16-29

We used the Wall Street Journal survey data for the period 2006-2012 to analyze whether forecasts of house prices and … housing starts provide evidence of (anti-)herding of forecasters. Forecasts are consistent with herding (anti-herding) of … forecasters if forecasts are biased towards (away from) the consensus forecast. We found that anti-herding is prevalent among …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010421253

The accuracy of forecasts made for the structure of consumer basket: A comparative analysis between euro area and Romania

Bratu Simionescu, Mihaela - In: Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y … 15 (2013), pp. 87-100

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307184