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The last twenty years have brought a bulk of inconsistent results on the determinants of business cycle synchronization (BCS). Researchers have usually focused their attention on a limited set of possible determinants, not accounting for model uncertainty. For these reasons, Bayesian Model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470739
This study investigates the determinants of Indonesian's business cycle using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach, by including spillover responses within 33 countries with 2000 bootstrap replications. The results show that Indonesia's business cycle is influenced by both domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558473
European integration and enlargement, in the context of decreasing support of European country nationals, needs great men and great ideas standing with. J.M.Keynes proves in his book”The Economic Consequences of the Peace” that there is no other way for Europe than acts together. His...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012017000
Business cycle synchronization represents a condition for the successful implementation of the common monetary policy within the Economic and Monetary Union. There is a tight relation between business cycle synchronization and the economic convergence of the Member States of the Monetary Union....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012017017
Fourier analysis to estimate cycle amplitudes and frequencies. This allows for a more precise estimation of cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922451
This article investigates the effects of the different exchange rate regimes on business cycles comovement between advanced and emerging countries. We use the Granger Causality test (VAR model) on panel data to examine the causal relationships. Our findings show the existence of a bidirectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074202
Since the prolonged recession in 1980–1982 which laid the basis for the emergence of finance-led capitalism in the US there have been four phases of economic expansion. The first three ended with increasingly severe recessions in 1990–1991, 2001 and 2007–2009. The most recent expansion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363309
Theoretical models point at various channels of the impact of inflation on corporate investment. This article attempts to answer the question what the direction and strength of this possible impact is, examining the relationship between corporate investment and inflation on the sample of 21 OECD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312014
The first objective of this paper is to present theoretical approaches to the impact of trade growth (induced by monetary integration) on business cycle synchronization which is an important factor of a country's readiness for a currency union accession. The main conclusion from the first part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015192129
This study examines business cycle fluctuations in selected Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. The study measures the impact of selected real shocks, namely: terms of trade shocks, commodity price shocks, and government spending shocks, on macroeconomic fluctuations in SSA. The impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001631