Threshold cointegration is introduced as an econometric technique to model the impact of trade disruptions on spatial price transmission in commodity markets so that market participants and policy makers can understand the global impact of trade disruptions on prices. The threshold cointegration...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes, in terms of informational efficiency and risk, during the recent financial instability period. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses a state space model combined with a...

The development over time of market integration between Chinese provinces is analyzed by estimating threshold vector error correction models for rolling windows during 1998-2003. Transaction costs clearly decrease during this period characterized by liberalization of external trade and domestic...

The Brexit vote has considerably increased economic uncertainty in Europe and beyond. It will likely affect economic performance and in particular investment in the euro area, which are both already relatively weak. The impact of this uncertainty shock on the euro area and the German economy is...

Die Entscheidung für einen Brexit hat die Konjunkturängste innerhalb und außerhalb Europas verstärkt. Die Auswirkungen der mit dieser Entscheidung verbundenen ökonomischen Unsicherheit auf den Euroraum und die deutsche Wirtschaft lassen sich mit ökonometrischen Methoden abschätzen. Einer...

Background: Since the latter part of the 20th Century, countries have been particularly challenged by the trade-off that exists between delivering generous welfare provisions and strong economic growth. Such dynamics have stimulated a need to better understand the causes of income inequality so...

Since mid 2007 there has been a dramatic rise in prices for basic foods such as internationally traded varieties of rice, corn and wheat. At the moment, it is rather impossible to estimate how far speculation in the commodity markets has contributed to this development. Irrespective of this, a...

Im Juli 2007 wurden die Milchpreise in Deutschland um 7 Cent je Liter angehoben, und für andere Molkereiprodukte wurden drastische Steigerungen angekündigt. Inzwischen ist auch bei Brot und Backwaren sowie bei Fleisch von deutlichen Preiserhöhungen die Rede. Verschiedentlich wird bereits...