Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...

The paper examines the unconditional sigma and time-series convergence of real GDP per capita (measured in national currencies and euros) for CEE8 countries during the 1995 : Q1 – 2011 : Q1 period by applying the unit root fra-mework using the DF-GLS test and the Lee and Strazicich (2003; 2004)...

The economic crisis of 2008–2009 will be known as the day when the creator knelt before its creation (Syll, 2010). Amid such economic mess created by economists (and so-called engineers) themselves, there seems to be a single economic perspective: every man for himself and save yourself if you...

A seminal paper by Fama and Bliss (1987) showed that a simple regression model could explain a significant portion of 1-year ahead excess returns. Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005) showed that their regression model could explain a significantly larger por tion of excess returns than Fama and...

Zum Abschätzen der Unsicherheit gesamtwirtschaftlicher Prognosen: Eine Anwendung auf das Risiko einer Deflation in Deutschland Der vorliegende Beitrag schlägt einen Ansatz zum Schätzen der Unsicherheit vor, die mit modellbasierten gesamtwirtschaftlichen Prognosen verbunden ist. Unserer...

This paper investigates the impact of capital flows on bank risk-taking behavior. It undertakes two levels of empirical estimations, namely (i) single-country industry-level; and (ii) multi-country industry-level estimations, covering emerging market economies. The results suggest that capital...

We examine the role of the international credit channel in Turkey over 2005–2013. We show that larger, more capitalized banks with higher non-core liabilities increase credit supply when capital inflows are higher. This result is stronger for domestic banks relative to foreign banks and...

The paper aims to answer two main questions. Is it possible to calculate and analyze fiscal, investment and export multipliers in the short term? The classic approach is mainly based on the input–output balances, which are most often published every 5 years. Is it possible to determine the...

The study investigates the determinants of electronic payment adoption and the role of electronic payment on con-sumers' purchase decisions as well as its effects on consumers' spending growth in Nigeria. To achieve this, both pri-mary and secondary data were deployed. The primary data were...

Large-dimensional dynamic factor models and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, both widely used in empirical macroeconomics, deal with singular stochastic vectors, i.e., vectors of dimension r which are driven by a q-dimensional white noise, with q r. The present paper studies...