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sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model is used to estimate to what extent the … this crisis. During the Irish financial crisis from 2007 to 2010, strong contagion effects are uncovered between Irish … equity markets and the investigated European equity markets. The contagion effects are found to ease dramatically in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478761
With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054624
positive signal for future system stability, it also evidences that the widely used GARCH and DCC specifications turn to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984362
: Germany, United Kingdom, China, Russia, and Turkey. MARMA, GARCH, GARCH-in-mean, and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) methodologies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988707
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-class models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting accuracy … 2015. The results suggest that the Asymmetric Power of ARCH (APARCH) model is the most accurate model in the GARCH class …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611046
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break in respect of the US dollar rates with exogenously determined break … estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482587
Europe's financial landscape has substantial institutional variety. This reflects different societal responses to (or preferences with regard to) trade-offs. For monetary policy, it implies a challenging environment, particularly in times of financial crises. Using anon-linear VAR-model we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054626
. In this paper, this contagion effect will be estimated by taking international capital linkages into account. Analogously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102480
enable effective dealing with the paper's aim.First, we use GARCH volatilities of major stock indices as a measure of market … regulation, monetary policy, and economic policy as a proxy for market awareness of these topics. By regressing on GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427232
correlation analysis and the VAR(1)-BEKK-GARCH(1,1) model, the global financial crisis and the Euro-zone crisis 2009-2012 have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001610