After a period of deepening financial integration, the financial crisis triggered a fragmentation of Europe's capital markets along national lines. Financial integration was prone to sudden stops and capital reversals because cross-border capital flows predominantly consisted of short-term debt...

"The Great Recession" was preceded by a prolonged period of high growth accompanied by low and stable inflation, the so called "The Great Moderation". In Spain, a similar pattern was observed: in fact, potential growth estimates were trending upwards, implying that output gaps remained...

Since the prolonged recession in 1980–1982 which laid the basis for the emergence of finance-led capitalism in the US there have been four phases of economic expansion. The first three ended with increasingly severe recessions in 1990–1991, 2001 and 2007–2009. The most recent expansion,...

The US economic expansion which began in 2009 was unusually prolonged but relatively weak. Profitability and investment strengthened between 2010 and 2015 but then began to falter. After Trump took office in 2017 there was a minor recovery in investment but the proceeds of major tax cuts were...

This article analyzes the role of trade and financial integration, productive specialization and monetary policies in the synchronization of business cycles in North America from a long-run perspective. For this purpose, we estimate seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models and Granger...

Die politische und wirtschaftliche Integration Europas, besonders auch die gemeinsame Währung, haben die Verflechtung der Finanzmärkte wesentlich vorangetrieben. Mit der zunehmenden Diversifizierung von Beteiligungskapital wurde die internationale Konsumglättung gefördert. Dies lässt sich...

With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...

A Capital Markets Union (CMU) is the great hope of European policymakers. The plan for a CMU tries to reduce the reliance of European investors on banks and build up a market-based risk-sharing channel between member states. Our empirical analysis raises doubts that this can be achieved through...

We investigate masked financial instability caused by wealth inequality. When an economic sector is decomposed into two subsectors that possess a severe wealth inequality, the sector in entirety can look financially stable while the two subsectors possess extreme financially instabilities of...

Die Geldpolitik hat mit unkonventionellen Maßnahmen wie Negativzinsen und dem Ankauf von Anleihen maßgeblich zur Eindämmung der Finanz- und Staatsschuldenkrise im Euroraum beigetragen. Eine lang anhaltende Niedrigzinspolitik beinhaltet allerdings erhebliche Risiken für die Finanzstabilität....