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unterschiedlich ist. Während die Konjunktur in den Vereinigten Staaten bis zuletzt kräftig war, befindet sich die Wirtschaft im … Impulse etwas an Fahrt verliert, belebt sich die Konjunktur in Europa und Japan mit Abklingen der bremsenden Wirkungen des …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506984
OECD unemployment rates show long swings which dominate shorter business cycle components and these long swings show a range of common patterns. Using a panel of 21 OECD countries 1960-2002, we estimate the common factor that drives unemployment by the first principal component. This factor has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295319
observed that the volatility shocks are quite persistent and take a long time to die out. September 11, 2001incident and … thereafter war on terror has increased the conditional volatility of foreign direct investment and has statistically significant … volatility. One interesting finding of this study is that the impact of Non-Democratic regime before September, 11 scenario is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938300
Short term climate events such as the sea surface temperature anomaly known as El Niño are financial risk sources … leading to incomplete markets. To make such risk tradable, we use a market model in which a climate index provides an extra … investment option. Given one possible market price of risk each agent can maximize the exponential utility from three sources of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377711
This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation both within them and between them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317130
Die aktuellen Finanzmarktprobleme zeigen, dass die Immobilienpreisentwicklung wichtige Auswirkungen auf die konjunkturelle Entwicklung haben kann. Die vorliegende Untersuchung stellt zum einen dar, wie die Immobilienpreise auf die makroökonomische Entwicklung reagieren. Zum anderen wird...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011633223
The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270901
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475519
memory in stochastic volatility (SV) components in order to develop the General Long Memory SV (GLMSV) model. We examine the … corresponding statistical properties of this model, discuss the spectral likelihood estimation and investigate the finite sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610989