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This contribution analyzes bull and bear markets from 1954:1-2011:2 in the US-stock index S&P 500. Thereby, a 2-State-Markov-Switching model is applied to figure out bull and bear market regimes within the latter period, whereby the estimated state probabilities are used to estimate a dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286823
Cross-country estimations of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) to empirically analyze the relationship between income and pollution have generally assumed a common structure for all countries. Since this latter feature is not supported by economic theory, this paper uses the Random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289467
The capacity of input-output tables to reflect the structural peculiarities of an economy and to forecast, on this basis, its evolution, depends essentially on the characteristics of the matrix A matrix of I-O (or technical) coefficients. However, the temporal behaviour of these coefficients is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551997
observed that the volatility shocks are quite persistent and take a long time to die out. September 11, 2001incident and … thereafter war on terror has increased the conditional volatility of foreign direct investment and has statistically significant … volatility. One interesting finding of this study is that the impact of Non-Democratic regime before September, 11 scenario is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938300
The Prebisch-Singer (PS) hypothesis, which postulates the presence of a downward secular trend in the price of primary commodities relative to manufacturers, remains at the core of a continuing debate among international trade economists. The reason is that the results of testing the PS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201003
wavelet power spectrum and partial wavelet coherence reveal that: (1) there was significant volatility in the Agricultural Raw …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602897
This paper provides a non-renewable resource extraction model with both technological change and resource exploration. Especially, we consider two types of technology, extraction technology and exploration technology. We show how these technologies affect efficient non-renewable resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601821
Die deutsche Industrie sah sich bis Mitte 2008 einem erheblichen Kostendruck ausgesetzt, der durch steigende Preise für Rohstoffe ausgelöst war. Besonders die stark gestiegenen Energiepreise mit einem Ölpreisniveau von bis zu 150 Dollar je Barrel sorgten für erhebliche Belastungen....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011633237
Eine IW-Befragung zeigt, dass die deutschen Unternehmen in steigenden und stark schwankenden Preisen ein wesentliches Rohstoffrisiko sehen. Die Preise für Rohstoffe sind zuletzt wieder deutlich angestiegen. Dies trifft besonders für wichtige Industrie-metalle wie Kupfer oder Eisen zu. Gemäß...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011633287