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This paper assesses the quantitative impact of ambiguity on historically observed financial asset returns and growth rates. The single agent, in a dynamic exchange economy, treats the conditional uncertainty about the consumption and dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
This paper shows the success of valuation risk-time‐preference shocks in Epstein-Zin utility-in resolving asset pricing puzzles rests sensitively on the way it is introduced. The specification used in the literature is at odds with several desirable properties of recursive preferences because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382046
Standard consumption-based models typically fail in pricing asset returns. In a famous seminal paper, Mehra and Prescott (1985), using a standard consumption model, prove the presence of a puzzle (i.e. equity premium puzzle). The recent financial literature still has to provide a convincing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009540176
The goal of this study is to test the validity of the prospect theory in the Borsa Istanbul (BIST) over the sample period September 2009 to December 2019. The prospect theory values of the stocks are generated from their historical return distributions following the method by Barberis et al....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383543
I study the effect of heterogeneous beliefs about asset prices on the long-term behavior of financial markets. Starting from the ideas of Abreu and Brunnermeier (2003), a two-dimensional system of differential equations is developed. The first dynamic variable is the asset price growth rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501110
We provide a production-based asset pricing model with dispersed information and small deviations from full rational expectations. In the model, aggregate output and equity prices depend on the higher-order beliefs about aggregate demand and individual stochastic discount factors. We prove that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415651
This study compares and contrasts the multiple characterizations of mean reversion in financial time series as regards the restrictions they imply. This is accomplished by translating them into statements about an alternative measure, the "Average Crossing Time" or ACT. We argue that the ACT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598519
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400372
The prospect theory proposed by (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) stated that people are risk-averse when faced with profits and risk-loving when faced with loss. Benartzi and Thaler (1995) combined the Myopic Loss Aversion and Mental Accounting in explaining the equity premium puzzle. Gneezy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009762694
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432446