In the summer of 1931, the Austro-German banking crisis spread to Romania and Bulgaria. In the Romanian case, the management of the crisis confronted three types of protagonists - politicians, bankers and central bankers - and positions about the relevant attitude to adopt, in particular to...

In this paper, we investigate the growing prominence of credit in the systemic banking crisis prediction literature. Through the application of the signal extraction model and multivariate probit panel regression, we evaluate the performance of the absolute change in credit-to-GDP ratio as an...

This paper investigates the determinants of banking system fragility by underlining the impact of bank liberalization on banking stability during the process of financial liberalization in emerging and developed countries. To this effect, we adopted a panel model with spatial dependency from a...

When the Great Depression struck the United States, O.M.W. Sprague was America's foremost expert on financial crises. His History of Crises under the National Banking System is a frequently cited classic. Had he diagnosed a banking panic and called for an aggressive response by the Federal...

This paper assesses several early warning (EWS) models of financial crises to propose a model that can predict the incidence of a currency crisis in developing countries. For this purpose, we employ the equal weighting (EW) and dynamic model averaging (DMA) approaches to combine forecast from...

This study attempts to develop a financial vulnerability indicator serving as a composite indicator for the state of financial vulnerability. The indicator was constructed from 10 variables of macroeconomic, financial and property market by extracting a common vulnerability component through the...

The chaebol, a South Korean form of business conglomerate, has been a key factor in the country’s economic growth. In this study, the chaebol sector is added to the asset–liability matrix derived from a flow-of-funds analysis in order to explain the role of the chaebol in the Korean...

This paper examines the causal relationship between financial development, economic growth and financial crisis in the five Asian emerging economies (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia and Thailand) during the period 1982 to 2007. All of these countries are known as emerging economies with...

In the wake of the global financial crisis that erupted in 2008, there has been extensive commentary and regulatory focus on the 'Too Big to Fail' issue. In this paper, we survey the proposed solutions and regulatory initiatives that have been undertaken. We conduct a longitudinal analysis of...