The study models the behaviour of the Central Bank of Nigeria. An extended Taylor's framework that accounted for exchange rate dynamics and political risk factors was adopted. In order to capture both ex-ante and ex-post behaviours of the monetary authority in the country, Markov-Switching...

An increasing number of emerging and developing countries have adopted or are transitioning towards full-fledged inflation targeting (FFIT) as the main monetary policy framework to anchor inflation. In this paper, we explore the FFIT regime as a means for Mauritius to achieve stable inflation,...

This paper investigates the dynamic interactions of the cross-section distribution of sectoral price changes and the output growth in the Chinese economy. We compare in depth the results of Granger causality tests, Impulse Response, and Forecast Error Variance Decompositions from Mixed Sampling...

The determination of inflation is widely debated all over the world. The macroeconomic variables namely: money supply, income velocity of circulation, real effective exchange rate and real income of the economy are the main affect of inflation. The objective of the study was to investigate the...

This paper analyzes from a long-term perspective, if the performance of the Mexican peso exchange, presents a recurring asymmetric behavior against the US dollar, and if that behavior has an influence on the potential use of financial derivatives by non-financial firms Mexican selected in the...

This paper analyses the effects of two alternative monetary strategies (exchange rate targeting and inflation targeting) on economic growth and employment. On the panel of 18 countries for the period from 1996 to 2013, I tested the hypothesis that countries in exchange rate targeting have a...

We investigate portfolio selection performance as in Markowitz by evaluating variance matrix estimation criteria in the currency market. This study challenges theoretically rigorous shrinkage covariance estimators using multiple evaluation metrics: systematic loss function, risk profile of...

Somalia has been a stateless nation for over two decades, where government institutions have been destroyed and malfunctioned, including the central bank. Consequently, this ruled out the control and regulation of the money supply and exchange rate by the central bank. This study investigates...

This paper discusses the levels and trend of external reserves in Nigeria. The relevance of this lies in the fact that it could help to monitor the reserves and throw early warning signal about any economic crisis. Monthly data on Nigeria external reserves for the period January 1999 to...

The exchange rate is influenced by multiple national and international macroeconomic factors, which generates high levels of uncertainty. The objective of this research is the construction of ARIMA-GARCH and ARIMAX-GARCH models as a tool for the forecast of the exchange rate in Colombia from the...