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Prediction markets for future events are increasingly common and they often trade several contracts for the same event. This paper considers the distribution of a normative risk-neutral trader who, given any portfolio of contracts traded on the event, would choose not to reallocate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719089
We collect more than eight million German-language tweets on the war in Ukraine and use a machine learning approach toconstruct a daily index of uncertainty about the war. In an empirical model, we show that fluctuations in uncertainty have strong effectson financial markets and real economic...
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This paper introduces two simple betting mechanisms, Top-Flop and Threshold betting, to elicit unverifiable information from crowds. Agents are offered bets on the rating of an item about which they received a private signal versus that of a random item. We characterize conditions for the chosen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806279
We argue that once we take into account the students’ rational enrollment decisions, mismatch in the sense that the intended beneficiaries of affirmative action admission policies are made worse off ex ante can only occur if selective universities possess private information. Ex ante mismatch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756332
We develop a model of cheap talk with transparent and monotone motives from a seller to an informed buyer. By transparent and monotone motives, we mean that the seller's preference does not depend on the state of the world and is increasing in the choice(s) of the buyer regardless of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636246
The aim of this article is to present financial liquidity as a factor affecting the economic condition of the companies … impact of liquidity on the increase in earnings per share and return on assets, indicators can be used to assess the economic … liquidity results in an increase in the value of an economic entity and, therefore, its good economic condition, but the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993141
dimensions: price, volatility and liquidity. By comparing the Garman-Klass volatilities of bitcoin spot and futures prices with … compared to other assets. When the ratio of trading volume over open interest is used to measure liquidity, the bitcoin futures … market shows a mid-level liquidity. We also find while the exchange margin is set to meet the normal price volatility that …
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