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Potential of business uncertainty indicators in forecasting economic activity : the case of Russia

Lola, Inna S.; Asoskov, Dmitry G. - In: Russian journal of economics 10 (2024) 4, pp. 351-364

activity in the context of Russia. In an era characterized by global economic volatility and geopolitical shifts, understanding … utilizes a comprehensive dataset based on the results of business tendency surveys in Russia, spanning the period from 2009 to … this study is: can uncertainty indicators predict business activity in Russia or not? To address this question, we compared …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015396286

Forecasting in Russian industry

Aukucionek, Sergej P. - In: The Russian economic barometer : market situation … 5 (1996) 3, pp. 3-12

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001211852

Ocenka konkurencii v rossijskoj promyšlennosti : vozmožnosti oprosov rukovoditelej predprijatij

Cuchlo, Sergej V. - In: Voprosy statistiki : naučno-informacionnyj žurnal (2000) 11, pp. 28-36

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001540646

Ocenka konkurencii v rossijskoj promyšlennosti

Cuchlo, Sergej V. - In: Obščestvo i ėkonomika : meždunarodnyj naučnyj i … (2000) 9/10, pp. 70-112

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001542525

Investment and financing behaviours in the financial crisis : the sustainable implications for SMEs

Huan H. Nguyen; Thanh Phuc Nguyen; Tram Thi Xuan Huong - In: Cogent business & management 9 (2022) 1, pp. 1-21

Despite the driving role of economic growth, SMEs in Vietnam have dealt with many critical constraints relating to insufficiency of internal financing sources and inaccessibility of external funds arising from the crisis period. Based on the unique dataset of Vietnam's SMEs covering the period...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014430137

Forecasting the Spanish economy with an augmented VAR–DSGE model

Fernández de Córdoba, Gonzalo; Torres, José L. - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 2 (2011) 3, pp. 379-399

Over the past 10 years dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have become an important tool in quantitative macroeconomics. However, DSGE models were not considered as a forecasting tool until very recently. The objective of this paper is twofold. First, we compare the forecasting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009356157

Bevölkerungsstimmung als Indikator für das Wirtschaftswachstum

Bruttel, Oliver - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 93 (2013) 6, pp. 390-395

Den gängigen Konjunkturprognosen liegen in der Regel komplexe ökonometrische Modelle mit einer Vielzahl von Input-Variablen zugrunde. Das Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach fragt in seiner „Neujahrsfrage“ die Bevölkerung seit Gründung der Bundesrepublik jedes Jahr nach ihren Erwartungen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774316

Weshalb Konjunkturprognostiker regelmäßig den Wetterbericht studieren sollten

Döhrn, Roland - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 94 (2014) 7, pp. 487-491

Konjunkturprognosen werden sinnvollerweise auf der Grundlage saisonbereinigter Daten erstellt, damit jahreszeitlich übliche Schwankungen ausgeschaltet werden. Kommt es aber zu extremen Witterungslagen, wenn etwa ein Winter besonders heftig oder aber auch besonders mild ausfällt, dann spiegeln...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010404438

A comparative analysis of macroeconomic forecasts accuracy in Spain and Romania

Bratu, Mihaela - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 6 (2015) 1, pp. 67-74

In this study a comparative analysis of the forecasts accuracy for Spain (developed country) and Romania (developing country) was developed for the crisis period (2009 - 2013). The providers are national forecasters: Bank of Spain and FUNCAS (Spanish Savings Banks Foundation) for Spain and two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298802

A monthly leading indicator of Swiss GDP growth based on Okun's law

Kugler, Peter; Sheldon, George - In: Swiss journal of economics and statistics 159 (2023) 1, pp. 1-14

We propose a unique method of nowcasting and forecasting GDP growth based on a forward-looking measure of unemployment (FLUR) and Okun's law that offers a number of advantages over current leading indicators of the Swiss business cycle. The following investigation, covering the period from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506541