Similar Search Results

Modeling autoregressive processes with moving-quantiles-implied nonlinearity

Ishida, Isao; Kvedaras, Virmantas - In: Econometrics : open access journal 3 (2015) 1, pp. 2-54

We introduce and investigate some properties of a class of nonlinear time series models based on the moving sample quantiles in the autoregressive data generating process. We derive a test fit to detect this type of nonlinearity. Using the daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989

Some variables are more worthy than others : new diffusion index evidence on the monitoring of key economic indicators

Armah, Nii Ayi; Swanson, Norman R. - In: Applied financial economics 21 (2011) 1/3, pp. 43-60

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124680

Predicting volatility of bitcoin returns with ARCH, GARCH and EGARCH models

Yildirim, Hakan; Bekun, Festus Victor - In: Future Business Journal 9 (2023), pp. 1-8

The ınvestment decisions of institutional and individual investors in financial markets are largely influenced by market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of the prices and returns of the investment instruments...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180

Threshold mixed data sampling (TMIDAS) regression models with an application to GDP forecast errors

Yang, Lixiong - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 62 (2022) 2, pp. 533-551

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819480

Automatic identification of general vector error correction models

Arbués, Ignacio; Ledo, Ramiro; Matilla-García, Mariano - 2016

There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different types of situations in which cointegration can appear: I(1), I(2), seasonal, polyno- mial, etc. There are also different kinds of Vector Error Correction models related to these situations. The authors propose a unified...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554319

Realized density estimation using intraday prices

Arnerić, Josip - In: Croatian review of economic, business and social … 6 (2020) 1, pp. 1-9

the fast-time-time scale sampling frequency is held fixed. The realized kernel density estimation enriches the literature … estimation method is applied to DAX intraday prices, which balances between the bias and the variance of the realized moments … with respect to the bandwidth selection as well as the sampling frequency selection. The main finding is that the kernel …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264979

Time series forecasting using a moving average model for extrapolation of number of tourist

Ivanovski, Zoran; Milenkovski, Ace; Narasanov, Zoran - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 9 (2018) 2, pp. 121-132

Time series is a collection of observations made at regular time intervals and its analysis refers to problems in correlations among successive observations. Time series analysis is applied in all areas of statistics but some of the most important include macroeconomic and financial time series....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178433

A probit model for the state of the Greek GDP growth

Degiannakis, Stavros - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 3 (2015) 3, pp. 381-392

The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197

Improving the estimation and predictions of small time series models

Liu-Evans, Gareth - In: Journal of time series econometrics 15 (2023) 1, pp. 1-26

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288356

The persistence of suicides in G20 countries between 1990 and 2017 : an SPSM approach to three generations of unit root tests

Anyikwa, Izunna; Hamman, Nicolene; Phiri, Andrew - In: Comparative economic research : Central and Eastern Europe 24 (2021) 2, pp. 153-173

Suicides represent an encompassing measure of psychological wellbeing, emotional stability as well as life satisfaction, and they have been recently identified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as a major global health concern. The G20 countries represent the powerhouse of global economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012666866