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In the chapter titled "The Demand for Commodity Options", we develop a simple equilibrium model in which commercial hedgers, i.e., producers and consumers, use commodity options and futures to hedge price and quantity risk. We derive an explicit relationship between expected futures returns and...
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The idea that speculation exacerbates commodity and stock price volatility dates back at least from the second half of the nineteenth century when an extensive literature emerged to which Marshall contributed. The essence of his arguments, originally applied to commodities and subsequently...
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While Keynes is known for his theory of normal backwardation in futures markets, he is less known as a trader in these … markets. The question arises whether his theory acted as a guide to his trading activity or, rather, whether it was his … trading activity that shaped his theory. Backwardation was not viewed by Keynes as a permanent feature of futures market, but …
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