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In response to questions about the relative importance of different types of capital flow for international competitiveness, we develop a structural vector auto-regressive model of the real exchange rate and international capital flows. We reveal that innovations to speculative sentiment cause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533969
This paper applies a recent method proposed by Maggiori (The U.S. Dollar Safety Premium, 2013) to estimate the Swiss franc safety premium. The results show that the three-step instrumental variable approach as used by Maggiori does not work for the Swiss franc exchange rates. The price of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962943
The paper aims to investigate the possible dual causality between exchange rates and stock indices of China and ASEAN using Structural Vector Auto-Regressive Model (SVAR). The paper has analysed the dynamic relationships between the Yuan and the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Stock Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024028
This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
This paper analyzes from a long-term perspective, if the performance of the Mexican peso exchange, presents a recurring asymmetric behavior against the US dollar, and if that behavior has an influence on the potential use of financial derivatives by non-financial firms Mexican selected in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308139
This paper examines for the first time contagion to African stock markets with particular attention to the quantification of, and testing for the impact of (extreme) downside movements in foreign exchange and developed stock markets on the (extreme) downside risks in Africa stock markets. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779566
The exchange markets and the exchange rates of Asia and Latin America are studied econometrically. Endogenous structural change and cointegration analyzes and impulse-response functions are used. The findings indicate that: 1) the long-term timing of the exchange markets is low; 2) there is no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870778
This paper presents some models of exchange rate with jumps, namely jump diffusion exchange rate models. Jump diffusion models are quite common in computational and theoretical finance. It is known that exchange rates sometimes exhibit jumps during some time periods. Therefore, it is important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013431567
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011631609
This article investigates the exchange rate volatility spillover and dynamic conditional correlation between the euro and the South African rand following the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. It employs two multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215203