Similar Search Results

Predicting recessions with leading indicators : model averaging and selection over the business cycle

Berge, Travis J. - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 6, pp. 455-471

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343630

Forecasting disconnected exchange rates

Berge, Travis J. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 29 (2014) 5, pp. 713-735

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414857

Understanding survey-based inflation expectations

Berge, Travis J. - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 788-801

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031107

Time-varying uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's output gap estimate

Berge, Travis J. - In: The review of economics and statistics 105 (2023) 5, pp. 1191-1206

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384118

A chronology of turning points in economic activity : Spain, 1850 – 2011

Berge, Travis J.; Jordà, Òscar - In: SERIEs : Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 4 (2013) 1, pp. 1-34

This paper codifies in a systematic and transparent way a historical chronology of business cycle turning points for Spain reaching back to 1850 at annual frequency, and 1939 at monthly frequency. Such an exercise would be incomplete without assessing the new chronology itself and against...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756961