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. This model decomposes the changes in original inflation series as two new series: increases and decreases in inflation … rates. Hence, it enables us to examine the Fisher effect in terms of increases and decreases in inflation separately. The …
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that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German …, Japanese, and UK data, suggests the recent rise in the equity yield is accompanied by an uptick in inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
We study the yields in the German treasury bills market. We take a detailed look at the yield banks require to buy treasury bills in the primary market, and we also examine the yield households and nonbank firms demand to buy these bills in the secondary market. We use data from real world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449639
The appearance of negative bond yields presents significant challenges for the fixed income markets, which mainly concern related forecasting models. The Nelson-Siegel-Svensson model (NSS) is one of the models that is most frequently used by central banks to estimate the term structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023361
With a unique data set summarizing the quality of rules-based fiscal governance in EU member states, we show that stronger fiscal rules in euro area members reduce sovereign risk premia, in particular in times of market stress. To do so, we develop a model of sovereign spreads that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009315724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659594
This paper analyzes the effects of including collective action clauses (CACs) and enhanced CACs in international (nondomestic law-governed) sovereign bonds on sovereigns’ borrowing costs, using secondary-market bond yield spreads. Our findings indicate that inclusion of enhanced CACs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887842
Keynes argued that the short-term interest rate is the main driver of the long-term interest rate on government bonds. This paper empirically models the relationship between the short-term interest rate and long-term government securities yields in Canada, after controlling for other important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435611