Survey data can offer timely information on the current state of the economy and its short-term outlook. In this paper, we propose a "Swiss Economic Confidence Index" (SEC). This is a monthly indicator based on aggregating a selection of individual survey indicators, which we show to have...

Electricity price forecasting has become an area of increasing relevance in recent years. Despite the growing interest in predictive algorithms, the challenges are difficult to overcome given the restricted access to relevant data series and the lack of accurate metrics. Multiple models have...

This article provides several estimates for the shadow rate (SR) of the short-term interest rate in US. We assume maximal models with two and three Gaussian factors, and we use forward rates to estimate the model's parameters. Based on that, we conclude that point estimates of SR should be taken...

This paper investigates evidence of a Fisher effect in Nigeria by employing quarterly CPI inflation and Nominal interest rates data. For a more robust result we conducted integration and cointegration tests in order to examine time-series properties of the variables. Using Co-integration and...