Showing 1 - 10 of 21,398
In this paper, we use the largest exchange rate survey in Colombia to test for the rational expectations hypothesis, the presence of a time-varying risk premium and the accuracy of exchange rate forecasts. Our findings indicate that episodes of exchange rate appreciation preceded expectations of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011885644
The Australian dollar is known as a commodity currency because it is sensitive to fluctuations of commodity prices. Although the structure of Australian production has historically moved from the primary commodities to manufacturing and services, market expectations of the currency are still...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062695
Evidence in favor of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for the South African Rand is, at best, mixed. A co-integrating relationship between the nominal exchange rate and monetary fundamentals forms the basis of the monetary model. With the econometric literature suggesting that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770376
properties of operational and practical procedures for the forecast evaluation of explanatory discrete time models of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012196543
This paper analyzes the role of the nature of traded goods in the effect of the real exchange rate on the trade balance in West African Economy and Monetary Union countries. Empirically, the estimation of the parameters of a distributed lag autoregressive model using the technique of dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211233
Empirical studies outline developing countries’ experience economic growth through an undervalued exchange rate and that exchange rate overvaluations have negative long term effects on economic growth. This paper examined the impact of exchange rate movements as well as exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956526
We compute the exchange rate misalignment for a set of emerging economies between 1980 and 2013 using the behavioural equilibrium exchange rate definition. The real equilibrium exchange rate is constructed using a parsimonious model and estimators that are robust to cross-sectional independence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619498
Purpose - In this study, it is analyzed the validity of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) effect and the effect of interest rate and output level on the inflation rate (IR) in Brazil, Russia, India, China and Turkey (BRIC-T) between the years 1995Q1 and 2022Q4. Design/methodology/approach -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015132971