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This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823308
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
This paper proposes a methodology for building Multivariate Time-Varying STCC-GARCH models. The novel contributions in this area are the specification tests related to the correlation component, the extension of the general model to allow for additional correlation regimes, and a detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281494
market capitalization, the increasing volatility of the virtual currencies raise various concerns. One of the major concerns … cryptocurrencies returns. This can be attributed to the presence of asymmetric volatility clusters. This study has significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816801
does not require the specification and estimation of the economic agent’s information flows or the identification and … estimation of the structural parameters and the noninvertible roots. Moreover, the proposed test statistic uses all lags in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800953
outperforms the other models in model estimation and daily out-of-sample volatility forecasting of the two indices. This study is … for forecasting the volatility of both the TASI and the TIPISI in the context of petrochemical industries, as this model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
-frequency data, in line with IT developments, enables the use of more information to estimate not only the variance (volatility), but … estimation method is applied to DAX intraday prices, which balances between the bias and the variance of the realized moments … the fast-time-time scale sampling frequency is held fixed. The realized kernel density estimation enriches the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264979
market was shown to react to news unequally. Volatility spikes sharply when unexpected adverse news reaches the market while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843965
The study aimed at determining a set of superior generalized orthogonal-GARCH (GO-GARCH) models for forecasting time-varying conditional correlations and variances of five foreign exchange rates vis-à-vis the Nigerian Naira. Daily data covering the period 02/01/2009 to 19/03/2015 was used, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011534717
leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that … volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate …We propose a methodology to include night volatility estimates in the day volatility modeling problem with high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811