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In this paper the author empirically examines whether the influence of bilateral investment treaties' political risk guarantees extends to other types of capital flows - FDI, private debt, public debt and portfolio equity. The paper uses panel data on middle and low income countries during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317969
This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349
This article presents an analysis of the possible relationship between the spreads of sovereign bonds and the premia of credit default swaps (CDS) to determine whether they are useful tools for the measurement of the sovereign risk either separately or by taking into account the joint evolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012436652
This study investigates the tail dependence structures of sovereign credit default swaps (CDSs) and three global risk factors in BRICS countries using a copula approach, which is popular for capturing the “true” tail dependence based on the “distribution-adjusted” joint marginals. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161740
We construct a sovereign default network by employing high-dimensional vector autoregressions obtained by analyzing connectedness in sovereign credit default swap markets. We develop four measures of centrality, namely, degree, betweenness, closeness, and eigenvector centralities, to detect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289115
I show that rising temperatures can detrimentally affect the sovereign creditworthiness of emerging economies. To this end, I collect long-term monthly temperature data of 54 emerging markets. I calculate a country's temperature deviation from its historical average, which approximates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492987
For decades, the credit rating market has been dominated by three major agencies (Moody's, S&P and Fitch Ratings). Their oligopolistic dominance is especially strong in sovereign credit ratings industry, where they hold a collective global share of more than 99%. Global financial crisis and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544325
Using a sample of 124 countries assisted by China from 2000 to 2019, this paper examines the impact of foreign aid on outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and the mitigation mechanism of risk. The research finds that, first, foreign aid can significantly reduce the country risk of recipient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289477
One of the significant problems of a modern economy and economics is political risk. A destructive influence of politics on the financial market cannot be ignored. It is necessary to indicate some selected specific problems of the financial market connected with politics in the area of: public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010390524
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522988