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Electricity price forecasting has become an area of increasing relevance in recent years. Despite the growing interest in predictive algorithms, the challenges are difficult to overcome given the restricted access to relevant data series and the lack of accurate metrics. Multiple models have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464238
and WTI in America are compared. OVX index is able to provide the optimal forecast for the volatility of Brent's future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574074
competing strategies such as forecast combinations and shrinkage methods. A mean-variance investor who targets a constant Sharpe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
factors extracted from a small dataset outperform the benchmark model in the forecast of Estonian headline and, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890976
In this paper, we apply machine learning to forecast the conditional variance of long-term stock returns measured in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127861
extent they adjust an econometric model-based forecast. In this paper we show, while making just two simple assumptions, that … econometric model. A key feature of the data that facilitates our estimates is that we have forecast updates for the same forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174156
The aim of this study is to test the ability of the yield curve on US government bonds to forecast the future evolution … ability to forecast future performance changes over time. Specifically, between 1986 and the early 2000s the yield curve was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798924
Purpose - For policymakers and participants of financial markets, predictions of trading volumes of financial indices are important issues. This study aims to address such a prediction problem based on the CSI300 nearby futures by using high-frequency data recorded each minute from the launch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497016
product forecasts. We evaluated the predictive content of data releases from point and density forecast perspectives, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015073109
returns for equity returns for all the countries across various forecast horizons and the length of out-of-sample periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015358919