The second chapter aims to calculate maximum sustainable debt ratios in advanced economies. We estimate a model based on countries' economic fundamentals. The model incorporates feedback effects between interest rates and debt ratios, allows for multi-period debt and considers different fiscal...

The aim of these notes is to revisit sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampling. SMC sampling is a powerful simulation tool for solving non-linear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. We illustrate this with several examples.