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forecast models. In addition to the standard Diebold-Mariano test, we employ tests that account for specific problems typically … encountered in forecast exercises. Specifically, we pay attention to nested model structures, we alleviate the problem of data … snooping arising from multiple pairwise testing, and we analyze the structural stability in the relative forecast performance …
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We compare sparse and dense representations of predictive models in macroeconomics, microeconomics, and finance. To deal with a large number of possible predictors, we specify a prior that allows for both variable selection and shrinkage. The posterior distribution does not typically concentrate...
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