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In the first chapter, I compare the forecasting accuracy of different high-frequency based volatility models. The … overnight returns considerably improves volatility forecasts for stocks across all models. Furthermore, the analysis shows that … models based on realized volatility benefit much less from allowing leverage effects than do models based on daily returns …
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The fact that human economic behaviour has a significant irrational element - one that is simultaneously hard-to-explain and highly predictable - has fascinated economists for decades from Fechner, 1860 to Shiller, 2005 and beyond. In this dissertation, I investigate the field from various...
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The 27th SUERF Colloquium in Munich in June 2008: New Trends in Asset Management: Exploring the Implications was already topical in the Summer of 2008. The subsequent dramatic events in the Autumn of 2008 made the presentations in Munich even more relevant to investors and bankers that want to...
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