Showing 1 - 10 of 59
The paper presents an analysis of real income convergence between the 11 countries of Central Eastern Europe which have joined the European Union (EU11) and 15 countries of Western Europe (EU15) in the period 1993-2015. The evolution of the income gap between the two groups of countries in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546733
to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270748
In this paper we review the methodology of forecasting with log-linearised DSGE models using Bayesian methods. We focus … matrix of h-steps ahead forecasts. In the empirical analysis, we examine the forecasting performance of the New Area … scope for improving the NAWM's forecasting performance. For example, the model is not able to explain the moderation in wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273631
Empirical assessments of the forecasting power of spatial panel data econometric models are still scarcely available … simulations are obviously useful to evaluate the properties and forecasting power of competing estimators, the empirical set … unemployment data for France, Germany, Italy, Spain and Switzerland. Additionally, we test different forecasting horizons, in order …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397488
priors entertained for all variables at all forecasting horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399901
The basic concept of a reverse mortgage is loan available to homeowners who are 65 years or older that enables them to convert part of the equity in their home into cash. The loan is called a reverse mortgage because the traditional mortgage payback stream is reversed. Instead of making monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011400306
This paper investigates the accuracy of point and density forecasts of four dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models for output growth, inflation and the interest rate. The model parameters are estimated and forecasts are derived successively from historical U.S. data vintages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305958
need to be included in a VAR if interest is in forecasting or impulse response analysis of a given set of variables. We … including the selected variables into VARs typically improves forecasting accuracy at short horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099218
This study analyzes investors' perception of placebic information and its impact on stock price estimates. We initiate a questionnaire-based stock price forecast competition among 196 undergraduate students in business administration. We show that placebic information increases the perceived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287863
and forecasting as well as for "what-if" inferring suitable for entities of all sizes. In particular, it allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288753