This paper analyzes the contribution of flow rates and flow probabilities for unemployment dynamics of different age groups using administrative panel data for Germany. I consider a three-state model and allow for flows from/to inactivity (out of the labor force) to/from unemployment. The...

In Germany and many other countries, students are tracked into various secondary school types. This paper studies whether parents or teachers assess students potential educational performance more adequately. Educational attainment is measured by grade retention rates. We take advantage of a...