Showing 1 - 10 of 21
This paper presents a new mechanism through which monetary policy rules affect inflation persistence. When assuming … the traditional demand channel of monetary transmission have a long-lasting effect on inflation dynamics. The Calvo model … around positive trend inflation. With realistic calibration of trend inflation and the monetary policy rule, the model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305953
We investigate drivers of Euro area inflation dynamics using a panel of regional Phillips curves and identify long …-run inflation expectations by exploiting the cross-sectional dimension of the data. Our approach simultaneously allows for the … inclusion of country-specific inflation and unemployment-gaps, as well as time-varying parameters. Our preferred panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892025
and a smooth estimated trend. Based on output growth and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099097
The output gap is a key variable of business cycle analysis and policy. Obtaining reliable estimates for it, is very difficult, though. Most real-time estimates are frequently revised over time. The idea of this paper is to use various indicators, for example from business surveys, that (i) were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099166
Standard procedures for output gap estimates, such as the Hodrick-Prescott Filter or the Production Function Method, suffer from the sample phase shift issue at the end of the sample. This often provides unstable and unreliable estimates for the current output gap. However the current estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892141
If firms borrow working capital to finance production, then nominal interest rates have a direct influence on inflation … empirical importance in explaining inflation dynamics in the US and in the euro area. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270129
with the interaction of stagnation and inflation is invariably based on some explicit or implicit assumptions about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647601
across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from … in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that … the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332599
extreme inflation rates. The main implication of the results is that a seemingly non-distortionary policy, such as more credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295992
We examine the impact of inflation on financial development in Brazil and the data available permit us to cover the … robust for different estimators and financial development measures?suggest that inflation presented deleterious effects on … Brazil by high rates of inflation, have detrimental effects to financial development, a variable that is important for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296015