The chapter tests the stages of development hypothesis for the balance of payments (SDH) in the years 1992-2016. We use data for 80 economies that are divided into five income groups. The research method includes regression. Our study yields yet limited support for SDH. The curve representing...

The Romanian agri-food trade has registered a permanent deficit during the last three decades (with a brief exception period, 2013-2014). The deficit was deepened by the negative trade balance with the EU countries, but since 2010, the deficit has been partially offset by the trade surplus with...

We investigate whether the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks vary with the level of uncertainty. Using postwar US data and a Self-Exciting Interacted VAR (SEIVAR) model, we find that fiscal spending has positive output effects in tranquil times but is contractionary during...

This paper analyses whether the severe demographic change in Germany causes its high current account surpluses. An ageing population both increases the supply and lowers demand of capital in an economy. Due to a longer life span individuals save more. Fewer workers reduce the optimal capital...