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For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with possible adverse effects to the real economy. For example, the stock of loans increased by more than 50 percent since the end of...
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of a speculative price bubble are raised. However, studies on bubbles in house prices are scarce and provide mixed …-of-the-art methodology we test for speculative bubbles both at a national and at the city level. Furthermore, we apply two new testing … definition of a speculative bubble: We define price movements as bubbles when explosive growth of prices is not supported by …
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