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Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions in the prevailing higher frequency approaches leaves a gap at horizons going beyond a few days. This is addressed by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Using Japanese data, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232128
I study the pricing of American Depositary Receipts around FOMC meetings to identify the impact of US monetary policy on managed exchange rates. ADR investors assess the domestic central bank’s reluctance to maintain a currency peg regime if the costs of mimicking policy rate increases in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265914
This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from … in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that … the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011575575
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310
This paper focuses on the empirically observed relationship between demographic change and inflation and explores the … demographic change and inflation dynamics. We are the first to formally disentangle the two components of demographic change …: population size and structure, and determine how they separately affect inflation. We find that changes in population size are a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265487
published data. The underlying effect rests on overstated inflation estimates due to imputed prices for disappearing goods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437529
Inflation and earnings growth can push some tax payers into higher brackets in the absence of inflation …-indexed schedules. Moreover, inflation may affect the composition of individuals’ income sources. As a result, depending on the relative … tax burden of labor and capital, inflation may decrease or increase the difference between before and after-tax income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012314680
commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … consolidated budget) monetary policy becomes subservient to fiscal policy, giving rise to more volatile inflation, output and … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304687
that our "effective" approach is superior when it comes to assessing the impact of exchange rate regimes on inflation … trading partners. Using our measure of effective exchange rate regimes in a standard empirical analysis of inflation … associated with significantly lower inflation rates. This challenges the established view that soft pegs do not matter - or are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329739