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channels through which financial support affects consumer sentiment are creating more optimism about macroeconomic expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013341750
This paper uses the COVID-19 pandemic as a case study to investigate the direct and indirect effect of beliefs of others on respondent's own beliefs and on their individual consumer sentiment. In a new online consumer survey with randomized control trials (RCTs) in Thailand and Vietnam, we...
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The development of employment and unemployment in regional labour markets is known to spatially interdependent. Global Vector-Autoregressive (GVAR) models generate a link between the local and the surrounding labour markets and thus might be useful when analysing and forecasting employment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574910
In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a unique data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...
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The problem of expectations in economic models is reviewed through the intellectual development of the author. Initial … efforts at macroeconomic modeling such as Foley-Sidrauski (Foley and Sidrauski 1971) treated expectations as conditioning … expectations) in this context leads to saddle-point instability of equilibrium, and the unanswered question of what behavioral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199555
extent that workers' (adaptive) price expectations lead to accelerating inflation or deflation, this will prompt central … among businessmen. Whereas economists before him tended to focus on the role of expectations in assets markets only …, Champernowne discussed expectations in both assets and labour markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199563