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Economists tend to assume that agents maximize their expected utility. However, many different experiments have questioned expected utility maximization by showing that human behavior can be characterized as random. This paper proposes Thompson Sampling as a theory of human behavior across very...
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We explore the consequences of losing confidence in the price-stability objective of central banks by quantifying the … inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
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channels through which financial support affects consumer sentiment are creating more optimism about macroeconomic expectations …
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